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22 researchers, including OpenAI's chief scientist, Anthropic's co-founder, and AI 'godfathers' Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio, just co-…

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The Rundown AI 09-29 01:59:45 The Rundown AI
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22 researchers, including OpenAI's chief scientist, Anthropic's co-founder, and AI 'godfathers' Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio, just co-wrote a paper on how AI building AI could set off an "intelligence explosion." Some of the wildest parts: - AI now completes 26% of Anthropic's R&D work with only high-level human oversight, up from 1% in March - Once AI hits expert level, one lab's current computing power could run the equivalent of "at least millions of top human researchers" - In one scenario after full automation, a year of today's AI progress would take about five weeks - AI labs are spending more (as a share of U.S. GDP) than the Manhattan Project and Apollo Program combined At the extreme end of the range of outcomes, according to the paper: "the marginalization or extinction of humanity."

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22位研究者,包括OpenAI的首席科学家、Anthropic的联合创始人,以及AI“教父”Geoffrey Hinton和Yoshua Bengio,刚刚共同撰写了一篇论文,探讨AI构建AI如何可能引发“智能爆炸”。其中一些最惊人的部分包括:AI现在在仅需高层人类监督的情况下完成了Anthropic 26%的研发工作,而3月份这一比例为1%;一旦AI达到专家水平,一个实验室目前的计算能力可以运行相当于“至少数百万顶尖人类研究员”的工作;在完全自动化后的一种情景中,如今一年的AI进展大约只需五周时间;AI实验室的支出(占美国GDP的比例)超过了曼哈顿计划和阿波罗计划的总和。根据该论文,在结果范围的最极端情况下:“人类被边缘化或灭绝。”

摘要 · AI SUMMARY

22位研究人员,包括OpenAI首席科学家、Anthropic联合创始人及AI教父Geoffrey Hinton和Yoshua Bengio,合著论文警告AI自我改进可能引发“智能爆炸”。论文指出,AI已能完成Anthropic 26%的研发工作,而3月仅为1%;一旦AI达到专家水平,一个实验室的算力可相当于“至少数百万顶尖人类研究员”。完全自动化后,一年的AI进展或仅需约五周。论文警告极端结果可能是“人类边缘化或灭绝”。

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